In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the USDCHF for DEC 20, 2024.
Fundamental Analysis
USDCHF Key Takeaways
The Swiss National Bank has lowered its policy interest rate by 50 basis points to 0.5%, the lowest level since November 2022. 50 basis points is the largest interest rate cut by the bank in nearly 10 years, aimed at leading the expected interest rate cuts by other central banks and curbing the appreciation of the Swiss franc.
The President of the Swiss National Bank stated that it is still possible for the bank to lower interest rates to negative values, but the likelihood is low.
Technical Analysis
USDCHF Daily Chart Insights
(USDCHF Daily Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)
(USDCHF Daily Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)
Stochastic oscillator: The fast line enters the overbought area, and then the decline is about to cross the slow line, indicating insufficient short-term upward momentum. There is still a possibility of further decline and adjustment in the exchange rate in the short term.
Price Action: The exchange rate rose strongly on Wednesday, breaking through the resistance level of 0.89563, indicating a strong short-term trend. However, yesterday’s exchange rate fell back into resistance, and the candlestick eventually turned into a cross star, indicating that long and short positions are still unclear.
Trend direction: Today’s exchange rate trend is crucial. If the exchange rate breaks through yesterday’s high, the upward trend will continue. On the contrary, the exchange rate will continue to fluctuate and adjust.
USDCHF 1-hour Chart Analysis
(USDCHF H1 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)
(USDCHF H1 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)
MACD: The red slow line is declining, and the momentum column is shrinking, with adjustments being the main focus during the Asian session. Investors need to wait for another bullish signal above the zero axis before focusing on opportunities to go long.
Downward trend line: When the exchange rate encounters resistance, the downward trend line is supported by the short-term moving average group below, and it will fluctuate horizontally during the Asian session. Pay attention to long opportunities after waiting for the exchange rate to break through the downward trend line.
USDCHF Pivot Indicator
(USDCHF M30 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets APP)
(USDCHF M30 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets APP)
According to the trading central in Ultima Markets APP, the central price of the day is established at 0.8955,
Bullish Scenario: Bullish sentiment prevails above 0.8955, first target 0.9020, second target 0.9040;
Bearish Outlook: In a bearish scenario below 0.8955, first target 0.8940, second target 0.8915.
Conclusion
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